论文标题
敏感性分析以弹性为导向的规避风险的主动分配系统计划
Sensitivity Analyses of Resilience-oriented Risk-averse Active Distribution Systems Planning
论文作者
论文摘要
本文介绍了基于弹性的主动分配系统计划解决方案的灵敏度分析。分配系统计划问题被称为具有条件价值（CVAR）作为风险度量的两阶段风险随机优化模型。概率场景是使用区域风轮廓获得的，并进行了蒙特卡洛模拟以获得基于组件脆弱模型的故障场景。计划措施包括采用故意岛屿措施的高级分销网格操作。用于敏感性分析的这项工作中使用的三个主要参数是场景，风险偏好和计划预算分配的数量。这样的分析可以向系统运营商提供其他信息，以派发计划预算和可用资源，以增强电网的弹性。
This paper presents sensitivity analyses of resilience-based active distribution system planning solutions with respect to different parameters. The distribution system planning problem is formulated as a two-stage risk-averse stochastic optimization model with conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) as the risk measure. The probabilistic scenarios are obtained using regional wind profiles, and Monte Carlo simulations are conducted to obtain failure scenarios based on component fragility models. The planning measure includes advanced distribution grid operations with intentional islanding measures. The three main parameters used in this work for sensitivity analysis are the number of scenarios, risk preference, and planning budget allocation. Such analysis can provide additional information to system operators on dispatching the planning budget and available resources properly to enhance the grid's resilience.
