论文标题

部分可观测时空混沌系统的无模型预测

Model-based Trajectory Stitching for Improved Offline Reinforcement Learning

论文作者

Hepburn, Charles A., Montana, Giovanni

论文摘要

储层计算是预测湍流的有力工具,其简单的架构具有处理大型系统的计算效率。然而,其实现通常需要完整的状态向量测量和系统非线性知识。我们使用非线性投影函数将系统测量扩展到高维空间,然后将其输入到储层中以获得预测。我们展示了这种储层计算网络在时空混沌系统上的应用,该系统模拟了湍流的若干特征。我们表明,使用径向基函数作为非线性投影器,即使只有部分观测并且不知道控制方程,也能稳健地捕捉复杂的系统非线性。最后,我们表明,当测量稀疏、不完整且带有噪声,甚至控制方程变得不准确时,我们的网络仍然可以产生相当准确的预测,从而为实际湍流系统的无模型预测铺平了道路。

In many real-world applications, collecting large and high-quality datasets may be too costly or impractical. Offline reinforcement learning (RL) aims to infer an optimal decision-making policy from a fixed set of data. Getting the most information from historical data is then vital for good performance once the policy is deployed. We propose a model-based data augmentation strategy, Trajectory Stitching (TS), to improve the quality of sub-optimal historical trajectories. TS introduces unseen actions joining previously disconnected states: using a probabilistic notion of state reachability, it effectively `stitches' together parts of the historical demonstrations to generate new, higher quality ones. A stitching event consists of a transition between a pair of observed states through a synthetic and highly probable action. New actions are introduced only when they are expected to be beneficial, according to an estimated state-value function. We show that using this data augmentation strategy jointly with behavioural cloning (BC) leads to improvements over the behaviour-cloned policy from the original dataset. Improving over the BC policy could then be used as a launchpad for online RL through planning and demonstration-guided RL.

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