论文标题

灾难后的数据驱动跟踪反弹路径:人口活动恢复及其空间不平等的关键里程碑

Data-driven Tracking of the Bounce-back Path after Disasters: Critical Milestones of Population Activity Recovery and Their Spatial Inequality

论文作者

Jiang, Yuqin, Yuan, Faxi, Farahmand, Hamed, Acharya, Kushal, Zhang, Jingdi, Mostafavi, Ali

论文摘要

衡量和跟踪社区后污水策划后恢复的速度和轨迹的能力对于为资源分配和优先次序提供信息至关重要。但是,当前基于调查的研究社区恢复的方法具有明显的滞后,并给受影响的人带来了数据收集的负担。此外,现有文献缺乏重要里程碑的定量措施,无法为恢复轨迹的评估提供信息。认识到这些差距,本研究使用了与访问模式和信用卡交易有关的基于位置的数据来指定与人口活动恢复有关的关键恢复里程碑。该研究使用哈里斯县(德克萨斯州)的2017年哈维飓风的数据,指定了四个关键的污点后恢复里程碑,并计算了危险事件结束和空间区域(人口普查区域)之间的时间长度的定量测量,这些时间长度(人口普查区域(人口普查区)基于对这些访问的访问,对这些里程碑式的信用来访问了本质和非本质和非实质性和非实质性和非实质性和不良功能。因此,创建了一个集成的恢复度量,以总体测量每个空间区域的恢复进展。进行了探索性统计分析,以检查社区恢复进展中实现关键里程碑的变化是否与其洪水状况,社会经济特征和人口统计学组成相关。最后,研究了空间不平等的程度。结果表明,基于恢复的不平等,哈维飓风中的人口活动恢复中存在中等空间不平等。这项研究的结果可以受益于灾后恢复资源分配,并提高社区对未来自然危害的韧性。

The ability to measure and track the speed and trajectory of a community's post-disaster recovery is essential to inform resource allocation and prioritization. The current survey-based approaches to examining community recovery, however, have significant lags and put the burden of data collection on affected people. Also, the existing literature lacks quantitative measures for important milestones to inform the assessment of recovery trajectory. Recognizing these gaps, this study uses location-based data related to visitation patterns and credit card transactions to specify critical recovery milestones related to population activity recovery. Using data from 2017 Hurricane Harvey in Harris County (Texas), the study specifies four critical post-disaster recovery milestones and calculates quantitative measurements of the length of time between the end of a hazard event and when the spatial areas (census tracts) reached these milestones based on fluctuations in visits to essential and non-essential facilities, and essential and non-essential credit card transactions. Accordingly, an integrated recovery metric is created for an overall measurement of each spatial area's recovery progression. Exploratory statistical analyses were conducted to examine whether variations in community recovery progression in achieving the critical milestones is correlated to its flood status, socioeconomic characteristics, and demographic composition. Finally, the extent of spatial inequality is examined. The results show the presence of moderate spatial inequality in population activity recovery in Hurricane Harvey, based upon which the inequality of recovery is measured. Results of this study can benefit post-disaster recovery resource allocation as well as improve community resilience towards future natural hazards.

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