论文标题
全国性的实验:在德国三个月的燃油减税和几乎免费的公共交通工具 - 向四个月的移动性跟踪报告5个见解
A nation-wide experiment: fuel tax cuts and almost free public transport for three months in Germany -- Report 5 Insights into four months of mobility tracking
论文作者
论文摘要
在2022年春季,德国联邦政府达成了一系列措施,旨在减轻家庭的财务负担,这是由于最近的价格上涨,尤其是能源和流动性。这些措施包括每月9欧元的全国性公共交通票,以及降低燃油价格的燃料税降低超过15%。在运输研究中,这几乎是一个前所未有的行为实验。它不仅可以在模式选择和诱发需求中研究行为反应,还可以评估运输政策工具的有效性。我们通过三波调查和基于应用程序的旅行日记观察到这一自然实验,并在数百名参与者的样本中以及对交通计数的分析进行了分析。在第五个报告中,我们介绍了对记录的跟踪数据的首次分析。 910名参与者完成了跟踪,直到9月30日。首先,给出了我们跟踪样本中参与者的社会人口统计学特征的概述。我们观察到女性和男性参与者有足够的代表,年轻参与者的略有代表性以及与“德意志兰州的Mobilität”调查相似的收入分配。跟踪研究的大多数参与者都在德国慕尼黑生活。一般运输统计数据来自自然实验的所有阶段的数据 - 先验,期间和9欧元之后,以评估参与者在汇总水平上的旅行行为的潜在变化。可以看到9欧元对模式股票的重大影响。考虑到旅行目的,年龄和收入,对参与者的流动行为的分析阐明了9欧元如何影响不同的社会群体和活动。我们发现,年龄,收入和旅行目的会显着影响9欧元对观察到的模态分裂的影响。
In spring 2022, the German federal government agreed on a set of measures that aim at reducing households' financial burden resulting from a recent price increase, especially in energy and mobility. These measures include among others, a nation-wide public transport ticket for 9 EUR per month and a fuel tax cut that reduces fuel prices by more than 15%. In transportation research this is an almost unprecedented behavioral experiment. It allows to study not only behavioral responses in mode choice and induced demand but also to assess the effectiveness of transport policy instruments. We observe this natural experiment with a three-wave survey and an app-based travel diary on a sample of hundreds of participants as well as an analysis of traffic counts. In this fifth report, we present first analyses of the recorded tracking data. 910 participants completed the tracking until September, 30th. First, an overview over the socio-demographic characteristics of the participants within our tracking sample is given. We observe an adequate representation of female and male participants, a slight over-representation of young participants, and an income distribution similar to the one known from the "Mobilität in Deutschland" survey. Most participants of the tracking study live in Munich, Germany. General transportation statistics are derived from the data for all phases of the natural experiment - prior, during, and after the 9 EUR-Ticket - to assess potential changes in the participants' travel behavior on an aggregated level. A significant impact of the 9 EUR-Ticket on modal shares can be seen. An analysis of the participants' mobility behavior considering trip purposes, age, and income sheds light on how the 9 EUR-Ticket impacts different social groups and activities. We find that age, income, and trip purpose significantly influence the impact of the 9 EUR-Ticket on the observed modal split.