论文标题

在Vera Rubin天文台的时代,使用标准化流量的摊销贝叶斯推断超新星的推断

Amortized Bayesian Inference for Supernovae in the Era of the Vera Rubin Observatory Using Normalizing Flows

论文作者

Villar, V. Ashley

论文摘要

Vera Rubin天文台将于2024年中期开始观察,将使我们的超新星的发现率每年增加到超过一百万。有很大的推动力发展新方法,以识别,分类并最终了解鲁宾天文台发现的数百万个超新星。在这里,我们提出了使用标准化流量的第一个基于模拟的推理方法,该方法经过训练,可以快速推断出多元类似Rubin的数据源中玩具超新星模型的参数。我们发现,与传统推理方法(特别是MCMC)相比,我们的方法经过了良好的校准,在测试时间内仅需要千分之一的CPU小时。

The Vera Rubin Observatory, set to begin observations in mid-2024, will increase our discovery rate of supernovae to well over one million annually. There has been a significant push to develop new methodologies to identify, classify and ultimately understand the millions of supernovae discovered with the Rubin Observatory. Here, we present the first simulation-based inference method using normalizing flows, trained to rapidly infer the parameters of toy supernovae model in multivariate, Rubin-like datastreams. We find that our method is well-calibrated compared to traditional inference methodologies (specifically MCMC), requiring only one-ten-thousandth of the CPU hours during test time.

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