论文标题
部分可观测时空混沌系统的无模型预测
The Stochastic Proximal Distance Algorithm
论文作者
论文摘要
储层计算是预测湍流的有力工具,其简单的架构具有处理大型系统的计算效率。然而,其实现通常需要完整的状态向量测量和系统非线性知识。我们使用非线性投影函数将系统测量扩展到高维空间,然后将其输入到储层中以获得预测。我们展示了这种储层计算网络在时空混沌系统上的应用,该系统模拟了湍流的若干特征。我们表明,使用径向基函数作为非线性投影器,即使只有部分观测并且不知道控制方程,也能稳健地捕捉复杂的系统非线性。最后,我们表明,当测量稀疏、不完整且带有噪声,甚至控制方程变得不准确时,我们的网络仍然可以产生相当准确的预测,从而为实际湍流系统的无模型预测铺平了道路。
Stochastic versions of proximal methods have gained much attention in statistics and machine learning. These algorithms tend to admit simple, scalable forms, and enjoy numerical stability via implicit updates. In this work, we propose and analyze a stochastic version of the recently proposed proximal distance algorithm, a class of iterative optimization methods that recover a desired constrained estimation problem as a penalty parameter $ρ\rightarrow \infty$. By uncovering connections to related stochastic proximal methods and interpreting the penalty parameter as the learning rate, we justify heuristics used in practical manifestations of the proximal distance method, establishing their convergence guarantees for the first time. Moreover, we extend recent theoretical devices to establish finite error bounds and a complete characterization of convergence rates regimes. We validate our analysis via a thorough empirical study, also showing that unsurprisingly, the proposed method outpaces batch versions on popular learning tasks.