论文标题

部分可观测时空混沌系统的无模型预测

Exclusion and Verification of Remote Nuclear Reactors with a 1-Kiloton Gd-Doped Water Detector

论文作者

Akindele, O. A., Bernstein, A., Bergevin, M., Dazeley, S. A., Sutanto, F., Mullen, A., Hecla, J.

论文摘要

迄今为止,为了证明非增殖能力而建造的抗神经抗体实验通常使用有机闪烁体,其位置尽可能靠近核心 - 距离距离几米到几米,距离远处几十米,而且大小不超过几吨。这种方法的一个问题是,与反应堆核心的接近性需要主机设施的住宿。水切伦科夫探测器位于几公里或更大的距离处,可能有助于对大面积的反应堆活动进行非侵入性监测和验证。随着对立距离的增加,检测器目标质量必须相应地扩展。本文量化了千顿级的gadolinium掺杂的水 - 切伦科夫检测器可以在指定距离内排除未申报的反应器的存在,并通过使用Feldman-Cousins基于feldman-Cousins的分析来远程检测到被拒绝的反应堆的存在,并在存在下倾斜的反应堆存在。 1盐量表(基准)水切伦科夫探测器可以在一年内排除数十公里的吉维瓦级核反应堆。当试图识别反应堆的特定范围和功率时,检测器能量分辨率不足以在两者之间描述。

To date, antineutrino experiments built for the purpose of demonstrating a nonproliferation capability have typically employed organic scintillators, were situated as close to the core as possible -typically a few meters to tens of meters distant and have not exceeded a few tons in size. One problem with this approach is that proximity to the reactor core require accommodation by the host facility. Water Cherenkov detectors located offsite, at distances of a few kilometers or greater, may facilitate non-intrusive monitoring and verification of reactor activities over a large area. As the standoff distance increases, the detector target mass must scale accordingly. This article quantifies the degree to which a kiloton-scale gadolinium-doped water-Cherenkov detector can exclude the existence of undeclared reactors within a specified distance, and remotely detect the presence of a hidden reactor in the presence of declared reactors, by verifying the operational power and standoff distance using a Feldman-Cousins based likelihood analysis. A 1-kton scale (fiducial) water Cherenkov detector can exclude gigawatt-scale nuclear reactors up to tens of kilometers within a year. When attempting to identify the specific range and power of a reactor, the detector energy resolution was not sufficient to delineate between the two.

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