论文标题
强大的贝叶斯推断对移动视野估计
Robust Bayesian Inference for Moving Horizon Estimation
论文作者
论文摘要
在存在测量异常值的情况下,移动视野估计(MHE)的准确性显着遭受。现有方法通过将导致大型MHE成本函数值视为离群值的测量方法来解决此问题,后来被丢弃。通过解决组合优化问题实现的策略仅限于线性系统,以确保计算障碍和稳定性。从贝叶斯的角度来看,我们的工作与这些启发式解决方案进行了对比,我们的工作揭示了其缺乏鲁棒性的基本问题:MHe对离群值的敏感性是由于其对Kullback-Leibler(KL)差异的依赖而导致的,在这里,这两个差异都同样考虑到异常值。为了解决这个问题,我们为MHE提出了一个强大的贝叶斯推理框架,并整合了强大的分歧措施以减少异常值的影响。特别是,提出的方法优先考虑未污染的数据并降低受污染数据的重量,而不是直接丢弃所有潜在污染的测量结果,这可能导致不良去除未污染的数据。将调谐参数纳入框架中,以调整鲁棒性度到异常值。值得注意的是,经典MHE可以将其解释为所提出方法的特殊情况,因为参数收敛为零。此外,我们的方法仅涉及对经典MHE阶段成本的微小修改,从而避免了与以前的异常变态方法相关的高计算复杂性,并且固有地适合非线性系统。最重要的是,我们的方法提供了鲁棒性和稳定性保证,这些保证在其他异常刺激性贝叶斯过滤器中通常会缺少。在不同分布以及物理实验数据的外离群值和物理实验数据的模拟上证明了所提出方法的有效性。
The accuracy of moving horizon estimation (MHE) suffers significantly in the presence of measurement outliers. Existing methods address this issue by treating measurements leading to large MHE cost function values as outliers, which are subsequently discarded. This strategy, achieved through solving combinatorial optimization problems, is confined to linear systems to guarantee computational tractability and stability. Contrasting these heuristic solutions, our work reexamines MHE from a Bayesian perspective, unveils the fundamental issue of its lack of robustness: MHE's sensitivity to outliers results from its reliance on the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence, where both outliers and inliers are equally considered. To tackle this problem, we propose a robust Bayesian inference framework for MHE, integrating a robust divergence measure to reduce the impact of outliers. In particular, the proposed approach prioritizes the fitting of uncontaminated data and lowers the weight of contaminated ones, instead of directly discarding all potentially contaminated measurements, which may lead to undesirable removal of uncontaminated data. A tuning parameter is incorporated into the framework to adjust the robustness degree to outliers. Notably, the classical MHE can be interpreted as a special case of the proposed approach as the parameter converges to zero. In addition, our method involves only minor modification to the classical MHE stage cost, thus avoiding the high computational complexity associated with previous outlier-robust methods and inherently suitable for nonlinear systems. Most importantly, our method provides robustness and stability guarantees, which are often missing in other outlier-robust Bayes filters. The effectiveness of the proposed method is demonstrated on simulations subject to outliers following different distributions, as well as on physical experiment data.