论文标题

城市洪水期间扰动交通网络的解剖

Anatomy of Perturbed Traffic Networks during Urban Flooding

论文作者

Rajput, Akhil Anil, Nayak, Sanjay, Dong, Shangjia, Mostafavi, Ali

论文摘要

城市洪水破坏了交通网络,影响居民的流动性和破坏通道。由于预计由于气候变化而预计洪水事件会增加,并且鉴于交通网络的关键性,因此了解流量网络的破坏对于改善紧急计划和城市弹性至关重要。该研究利用重大洪水事件和高级高阶网络分析的高分辨率交通网络数据揭示了流动交通网络的解剖结构的特征。首先,这些发现表明,即使在适度的洪水失败之后,洪水消失后,整个网络持续的旅行时间可能会持续数周。在灾难活动期间,1.3%的道路细分市场的适度洪水导致整个交通网络的时间扩展8%。结果还表明,遥远的旅行将使旅行时间增加更大的百分比。同样,旅行时间的增加程度不会随着距离淹没地区的距离而衰落,这表明洪水影响的空间范围延伸到洪水泛滥的地区。这项研究的发现与现有文献偏离了现有文献,该文献主要告知道路网络中的物理脆弱性,因此对洪水的重要理解对洪水的重要理解影响了对旅行时间和交通网络几何形状的交通网络功能的影响。整个网络的持续旅行时间增加可以转化为用户成本,额外的二氧化碳排放和生产力降低的重大社会和经济影响。由于交通网络对城市运营的运作的重要性,结果对城市经理,运输计划者和紧急情况经理具有重要意义,以应对城市洪水的影响。

Urban flooding disrupts traffic networks, affecting the mobility and disrupting access of residents. Since flooding events are predicted to increase due to climate change, and given the criticality of traffic networks, understanding the flood-caused disruption of traffic networks is critical to improve emergency planning and city resilience. Leveraging high-resolution traffic network data from a major flood event and advanced high-order network analysis, this study reveals characteristics of the anatomy of perturbed traffic networks. First, the findings show network-wide persistent increased travel times could last for weeks after flood water has receded, even after modest flood failure. During disaster event period, modest flooding of 1.3% road segments caused 8% temporal expansion of the entire traffic network. The results also show distant trips would experience a greater percentage increase in travel time. Also, the extent of increase in travel time does not decay with distance from inundated areas, suggesting that the spatial reach of flood impacts extends beyond flooded areas. Departing from the existing literature, which primarily informs about physical vulnerability in road networks to floods, the findings of this study provide important novel understanding of floods impacts on the functioning of traffic networks in terms of travel time and traffic network geometry. The persistent travel time increase in the entire network can translate to significant social and economic impacts in terms of user costs, additional CO2 emissions, and lost productivity. Due to the importance of traffic networks functioning for the operation of cities, the results have significance implications for city managers, transportation planners, and emergency managers to deal with the impacts of urban flooding.

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