论文标题
大规模规避风险分配网格扩展计划的可扩展方法
A Scalable Approach to Large Scale Risk-Averse Distribution Grid Expansion Planning
论文作者
论文摘要
分销网格的可靠性和弹性已成为公用事业及其监管机构关注的主要主题。特别是,随着极端事件的严重性的增加,公用事业公司正在考虑对分销网格资产进行重大投资,以减轻高度影响力的破坏。将这些投资的整体经济和降低风险福利传达给监管机构是批准过程的重要组成部分。如今,行业的可靠性和弹性计划实践主要基于不明确说明风险的方法。本文提出了一种实用方法,用于识别新线段和存储设备中投资的最佳组合,同时考虑与高影响力相关的风险之间的平衡低概率事件与与常规失败有关的可靠性。我们表明,可以使用联邦爱迪生可靠性计划的目标馈线来缩放此方法以解决大规模网络并证明其优势。
Distribution grid reliability and resilience has become a major topic of concern for utilities and their regulators. In particular, with the increase in severity of extreme events, utilities are considering major investments in distribution grid assets to mitigate the damage of highly impactful outages. Communicating the overall economic and risk-mitigation benefits of these investments to regulators is an important element of the approval process. Today, industry reliability and resilience planning practices are based largely on methods that do not take explicit account of risk. This paper proposes a practical method for identifying optimal combinations of investments in new line segments and storage devices while considering the balance between the risk associated with high impact low probability events and the reliability related to routine failures. We show that this method can be scaled to address large scale networks and demonstrate its benefits using a Target Feeder from the Commonwealth Edison Reliability Program.