论文标题
后验概率：优势和乐观
Posterior Probabilities: Dominance and Optimism
论文作者
论文摘要
真实状态的贝叶斯后部概率在真实状态的概率定律下由同一后部占主导地位。这概括了关于后验概率的“乐观”概念。
The Bayesian posterior probability of the true state is stochastically dominated by that same posterior under the probability law of the true state. This generalizes to notions of "optimism" about posterior probabilities.
