论文标题

未来损失的现值的风险迹象

The Sign of Risk for Present Value of Future Losses

论文作者

Hanley, Brian P., Keen, Steve

论文摘要

在关于折现率和气候变化的持续辩论中,威廉·诺德豪斯(William Nordhaus)倡导更高的折现率来应对风险。尼古拉斯·斯特恩(Nicholas Stern)倡导较低的速度。在这里,我们证明,在未来损失的情况下,风险只能由较低的折现率表示,从来没有较高。

In the ongoing debate over discount rates and climate change, William Nordhaus has championed a higher discount rate to account for risk. Nicholas Stern has championed a lower rate. Here we prove that in the case of a stream of future losses, risk can only be represented by a lower discount rate, never a higher one.

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