论文标题
接触跟踪和隔离计划的经济和健康影响
The economic and health impacts of contact tracing and quarantine programs
论文作者
论文摘要
接触跟踪和隔离计划是针对Covid-19的领先非药物干预措施之一。一些政府依靠强制性计划，而另一些政府则采用自愿方法。但是，关于这些不同方法的相对有效性的证据有限。在对代表成年美国人口的731名主题的互动在线实验中，就性别和居住区而言，我们发现有一个明显的排名。完全强制性的程序比可选的程序更好，并且可选系统比根本没有干预要好。该排名是由感染的减少驱动的，而经济活动则保持不变。我们还发现，政治保守派具有更高的感染和经济活动水平，并且他们不太可能参加接触示意计划。
Contact tracing and quarantine programs have been one of the leading Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions against COVID-19. Some governments have relied on mandatory programs, whereas others embrace a voluntary approach. However, there is limited evidence on the relative effectiveness of these different approaches. In an interactive online experiment conducted on 731 subjects representative of the adult US population in terms of sex and region of residence, we find there is a clear ranking. A fully mandatory program is better than an optional one, and an optional system is better than no intervention at all. The ranking is driven by reductions in infections, while economic activity stays unchanged. We also find that political conservatives have higher infections and levels of economic activity, and they are less likely to participate in the contact tracing program.
