论文标题
开普勒太阳恒星中旋转调制随着年龄的函数的可检测性
Detectability of Rotational Modulation in Kepler Sun-like Stars as a Function of Age
论文作者
论文摘要
储层计算是预测湍流的有力工具,其简单的架构具有处理大型系统的计算效率。然而,其实现通常需要完整的状态向量测量和系统非线性知识。我们使用非线性投影函数将系统测量扩展到高维空间,然后将其输入到储层中以获得预测。我们展示了这种储层计算网络在时空混沌系统上的应用,该系统模拟了湍流的若干特征。我们表明,使用径向基函数作为非线性投影器,即使只有部分观测并且不知道控制方程,也能稳健地捕捉复杂的系统非线性。最后,我们表明,当测量稀疏、不完整且带有噪声,甚至控制方程变得不准确时,我们的网络仍然可以产生相当准确的预测,从而为实际湍流系统的无模型预测铺平了道路。
We examine how the fraction $f$ of stars for which rotational modulation has been detected in Kepler light curves depends on the stellar mass $M_\star$ and age $t_\star$. Our sample consists of $\approx 850$ FGK stars hosting transiting planet candidates detected from the prime Kepler mission. For these stars, atmospheric parameters have been derived using high-resolution spectra from the California-Kepler survey, and rotational modulation has been searched in Kepler light curves homogeneously. We fit stellar models to the atmospheric parameters, Gaia parallax, and 2MASS magnitude of these stars and obtain samples drawn from the posterior probability distributions for their masses and ages under a given, uninformative prior. We combine them with the result of rotational modulation search to simultaneously infer the mass-age distribution of the sample as well as $f(M_\star, t_\star)$, in a manner that fully takes into account mass and age uncertainties of individual stars. We find that $f$ remains near unity up to $t_\star \sim 3\,\mathrm{Gyr}$ and drops to almost zero by $t_\star \sim 5\,\mathrm{Gyr}$, although the trend is less clearly detected for stars with $\lesssim 0.9\,M_\odot$ due to weaker age constraints. This finding is consistent with a view that the detection of rotational modulation is limited by photometric precision to younger stars that exhibit higher-amplitude modulation, and suggests that the detectability of rotational modulation in Kepler light curves is insensitive to metallicity and activity cycles for stars younger than the Sun.