论文标题
供应链网络的时间演变:动力学建模
Time Evolution of a Supply Chain Network: Kinetic Modeling
论文作者
论文摘要
弹性供应链通常固有地取决于其复杂互连网络的性质,这些网络同时是多维和多层的。本文介绍了供应链网络(SCN)模型,该模型可用于使用4组分成本函数结构 - 环境(E),需求(D),经济(E)和社会(S)来规范可持续中小企业的下游关系。作为对Edes成本内核之间现有现象学相互关系的现有实践的重大概括,我们提出了基于Lagrangian Mechanic(通过Lagrange乘数通过Lagrangian Mechanics(通过Lagrange倍增器结合SCN约束)的互补时间变化模型,以分析SCN变量的时间演变来解释经济企业潜力之间的竞争。基于分析层次结构过程(AHP),多准则决策对绩效质量进行排名,确定关键业务决策者。首先对该模型进行数值求解,然后针对与来自不同域的两个中小型企业(SME)有关的真实数据验证,从而确定了模型的独立性质。结果量化了生产线的增加而不适当考虑市场波动可能会导致破产,以及运输成本高的成本与生产的增加可能导致损失状态。该模型还预测了重振销售所需的政策更改的时间,从而预测了最佳实践运营程序,从而确保了所有四个可持续性方面的整体可持续性。
Resilient supply chains are often inherently dependent on the nature of their complex interconnected networks that are simultaneously multi-dimensional and multi-layered. This article presents a Supply Chain Network (SCN) model that can be used to regulate downstream relationships towards a sustainable SME using a 4-component cost function structure - Environmental (E), Demand (D), Economic (E), and Social (S). As a major generalization to the existing practice of using phenomenological interrelationships between the EDES cost kernels, we propose a complementary time varying model of a cost function, based on Lagrangian mechanics (incorporating SCN constraints through Lagrange multipliers), to analyze the time evolution of the SCN variables to interpret the competition between economic inertia and market potential. Multicriteria decision making, based on an Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), ranks performance quality, identifying key business decision makers. The model is first solved numerically and then validated against real data pertaining to two Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) from diverse domains, establishing the domain-independent nature of the model. The results quantify how increases in a production line without appropriate consideration of market volatility can lead to bankruptcy, and how high transportation cost together with increased production may lead to a break-even state. The model also predicts the time it takes a policy change to reinvigorate sales, thereby forecasting best practice operational procedure that ensures holistic sustainability on all four sustainability fronts.