论文标题
估计GW190521中亚占主导地位标准模式的虚假警报率
Estimating False Alarm Rates of Sub-Dominant Quasi-normal Modes in GW190521
论文作者
论文摘要
引力波天文学的主要目的是在观察上测试黑洞的Kerr性质。通过观察多种响声模式(也称为黑洞光谱法),提供了最小的额外假设的最强测试。对于重力波合并事件GW190521,我们以前声称检测到残留黑洞发出的两种响声模式。在本文中,我们提供了进一步的证据,以检测该事件的多个响声模式。我们分析了旨在复制GW190521的环down性能的模拟重力波信号的恢复。我们量化了检测统计报告的频率,即使在模拟信号中不存在此类模式的情况下,sub-opminant $(\ ell,m,n)=(3,3,0)$ ringdown模式的有力证据。我们发现这仅在概率$ \ sim 0.02 $中发生,这与$ t _ {\ rm ref} + 6 \,\ mathrm {MS} $(1 $σ$不确定性)的贝叶斯因子一致。我们还量化了我们对GW190521的不可知论分析,其中响应模式之间没有任何关系,发现只有250个模拟信号中只有1个没有$(3,3,0)$模式的模式产生的结果与GW190521一样显着。相反,我们验证,当模拟信号确实具有可观察到的$(3,3,0)$模式时,它们会始终产生强有力的证据和显着的不可知论结果。我们还发现,与$(3,3,0)$模式的GW190521一样的$(3,3,0)$模式的限制与我们先前对GW190521的分析所获得的差异是一致的。我们的结果支持了我们先前的结论,即GW190521的重力波信号包含可观察到的亚优势$(\ ell,m,n)=(3,3,0)$模式。
A major aim of gravitational wave astronomy is to test observationally the Kerr nature of black holes. The strongest such test, with minimal additional assumptions, is provided by observations of multiple ringdown modes, also known as black hole spectroscopy. For the gravitational wave merger event GW190521, we have previously claimed the detection of two ringdown modes emitted by the remnant black hole. In this paper we provide further evidence for the detection of multiple ringdown modes from this event. We analyse the recovery of simulated gravitational wave signals designed to replicate the ringdown properties of GW190521. We quantify how often our detection statistic reports strong evidence for a sub-dominant $(\ell,m,n)=(3,3,0)$ ringdown mode, even when no such mode is present in the simulated signal. We find this only occurs with a probability $\sim 0.02$, which is consistent with a Bayes factor of $t_{\rm ref} + 6\,\mathrm{ms}$ (1$σ$ uncertainty) found for GW190521. We also quantify our agnostic analysis of GW190521, in which no relationship is assumed between ringdown modes, and find that only 1 in 250 simulated signals without a $(3,3,0)$ mode yields a result as significant as GW190521. Conversely, we verify that when simulated signals do have an observable $(3,3,0)$ mode they consistently yield a strong evidence and significant agnostic results. We also find that constraints on deviations from the $(3,3,0)$ mode on GW190521-like signals with a $(3,3,0)$ mode are consistent with what was obtained from our previous analysis of GW190521. Our results support our previous conclusion that the gravitational wave signal from GW190521 contains an observable sub-dominant $(\ell,m,n)=(3,3,0)$ mode.