论文标题

检测反倾销的规避:一种网络方法

Detecting Anti-dumping Circumvention: A Network Approach

论文作者

Barbaglia, Luca, Croux, Christophe, Wilms, Ines

论文摘要

尽管全球经济体系的融合日益增加,但反倾销措施是政府用于保护其国民经济的常见工具。在本文中,我们提出了一种方法,以通过第三国重新布线贸易来检测反倾销的案例。根据观察到的完整贸易流网络,我们提出了一项措施,以逃避针对欧盟的贸易流量的反倾销义务,并寻找可能避免主动反倾销义务的案件。使用面板回归,我们能够正确地对86%的贸易流量进行分类,欧洲当局对反倾销的规避进行了调查。

Despite the increasing integration of the global economic system, anti-dumping measures are a common tool used by governments to protect their national economy. In this paper, we propose a methodology to detect cases of anti-dumping circumvention through re-routing trade via a third country. Based on the observed full network of trade flows, we propose a measure to proxy the evasion of an anti-dumping duty for a subset of trade flows directed to the European Union, and look for possible cases of circumvention of an active anti-dumping duty. Using panel regression, we are able correctly classify 86% of the trade flows, on which an investigation of anti-dumping circumvention has been opened by the European authorities.

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