论文标题

我们模型:基于数据驱动的电影导数市场预测的机器学习模型

WE model: A Machine Learning Model Based on Data-Driven Movie Derivatives Market Prediction

论文作者

Ding, Yaoyao, Wu, Chenghao, Liu, Xinyu, Zou, Yyuntao, Zhou, Peng

论文摘要

成熟的发展和产业链的扩展使电影业的收入结构。传统电影业的收入取决于票房,还包括电影销售,广告,家庭娱乐,书籍销售等。电影销售甚至比票房更有利可图。因此,尤其重要的是,多种功能销售的市场分析和预测方法尤为重要。传统的市场研究是耗时的和劳动密集型的,其实际价值受到限制。由于研究方法有限,需要形成更有效的预测分析技术。随着机器学习和大数据的快速发展,已经提出了大量用于预测回归和分类识别的机器学习算法,并广泛用于产品设计和行业分析中。本文提出了基于机器学习技术的高精度电影商品销售预测模型:我们的模型。该模型集成了三种机器学习算法,以准确预测电影销售市场。我们的模型通过分析电影的主要功能信息来了解电影商品市场和电影功能之间的关系。经过测试,商品销售市场中预测和评估的准确率达到72.5%,并且达到了强大的市场控制效果。

The mature development and the extension of the industry chain make the income structure of the film industry. The income of the traditional film industry depends on the box office and also includes movie merchandising, advertisement, home entertainment, book sales etc. Movie merchandising can even become more profitable than the box office. Therefore, market analysis and forecasting methods for multi-feature merchandising of multi-type films are particularly important. Traditional market research is time-consuming and labour-intensive, and its practical value is restricted. Due to the limited research method, more effective predictive analysis technology needs to be formed. With the rapid development of machine learning and big data, a large number of machine learning algorithms for predictive regression and classification recognition have been proposed and widely used in product design and industry analysis. This paper proposes a high-precision movie merchandising prediction model based on machine learning technology: WE model. This model integrates three machine learning algorithms to accurately predict the movie merchandising market. The WE model learns the relationship between the movie merchandising market and movie features by analyzing the main feature information of movies. After testing, the accuracy rate of prediction and evaluation in the merchandising market reaches 72.5%, and it has achieved a strong market control effect.

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