论文标题

用于着陆重建增强的运行飞行数据的统计依赖分析

Statistical Dependence Analyses of Operational Flight Data Used for Landing Reconstruction Enhancement

论文作者

Höhndorf, Lukas, Nagler, Thomas, Koppitz, Phillip, Czado, Claudia, Holzapfel, Florian

论文摘要

RTS更顺畅用于状态估计,并在此使用它来提高数据质量,并增加分辨率。本文的目的是提高RTS更顺畅的性能,以使用船上记录的数据重建飞机着陆。因此,在民用飞机飞行过程中记录的操作飞行数据的错误和不确定性被最小化。这些数据可用于在飞行安全或效率方面进行后续分析,这通常称为飞行数据监控(FDM)。 在应用过程中并不总是验证更光滑的理论的统计假设,而是(有意识地)被假定为实现。这些假设几乎无法在更平滑的应用程序之前进行验证,但是,可以使用初始平滑迭代的结果对其进行验证,并建议对特定更平滑的特征进行修改。该项目专门验证了关于测量噪声特征的假设。 最初的应用程序更顺畅后,可以检查测量噪声的方差和协方差。发现这些特征会随着时间而变化,应使用变化的协方差矩阵来解释。通过内核平滑估计,这种矩阵序列取代了最初假定的固定和对角线协方差矩阵,用于第一个更平滑的运行。与初始迭代相比,第二次平滑迭代的结果大多有所改善,即误差大大减少。随后,可以通过Copula模型捕获第二个更平滑迭代的残差的其余依赖性结构。它们的解释对于RTS更加顺畅地使用的物理模型的修订很有用。

The RTS smoother is widely used for state estimation and it is utilized here to increase the data quality with respect to physical coherence and to increase resolution. The purpose of this paper is to enhance the performance of the RTS smoother to reconstruct an aircraft landing using on board recorded data only. Thereby, errors and uncertainties of operational flight data (e.g. altitude, attitude, position, speed) recorded during flights of civil aircraft are minimized. These data can be used for subsequent analyses in terms of flight safety or efficiency, which is commonly referred to as Flight Data Monitoring (FDM). Statistical assumptions of the smoother theory are not always verified during application but (consciously or not) assumed to be fulfilled. These assumptions can hardly be verified prior to the smoother application, however, they can be verified using the results of an initial smoother iteration and modifications of specific smoother characteristics can be suggested. This project specifically verifies assumptions on the measurement noise characteristics. Variance and covariance of the measurement noise can be checked after the initial smoother application. It is discovered that these characteristics change over time and should be accounted for with a time varying covariance matrix. This sequence of matrices is estimated by kernel smoothing and replaces an initially assumed fixed and diagonal covariance matrix used for the first smoother run. The results of this second smoother iteration are mostly improved compared to the initial iteration, i.e. the errors are significantly reduced. Subsequently, the remaining dependence structures of the residuals of the second smoother iteration can be captured by copula models. Their interpretation is useful for a revision of the physical model utilized by the RTS smoother.

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