论文标题

汉森的现代高斯 - 马尔科夫定理中掩盖了物质事实

Material Facts Obscured in Hansen's Modern Gauss-Markov Theorem

论文作者

Vinod, Hrishikesh D

论文摘要

我们表明,汉森(Hansen)的{\ itconeretrica}论文的抽象和结论,\ cite {hansen22},名为“现代高斯 - 马尔科夫定理(MGMT)”,掩盖了一个实质性事实,这反过来又可能使学生感到困惑。 MGMT通过引入Cramer-Rao效率结合,将普通的最小二乘(OLS)放回高基座上。我们解释了为什么线性和无偏的联系在一起,从而使大多数非线性估计器偏置。因此,MGMT通过近乎空位扩大了世纪历史的GMT的影响力。它误导了学生,因为它误导了对有益收缩和其他工具的公正OL的关注,从而通过注射偏见来减少平均误差(MSE)。

We show that the abstract and conclusion of Hansen's {\it Econometrica} paper, \cite{Hansen22}, entitled a modern Gauss-Markov theorem (MGMT), obscures a material fact, which in turn can confuse students. The MGMT places ordinary least squares (OLS) back on a high pedestal by bringing in the Cramer-Rao efficiency bound. We explain why linearity and unbiasedness are linked, making most nonlinear estimators biased. Hence, MGMT extends the reach of the century-old GMT by a near-empty set. It misleads students because it misdirects attention back to the unbiased OLS from beneficial shrinkage and other tools, which reduce the mean squared error (MSE) by injecting bias.

扫码加入交流群

加入微信交流群

微信交流群二维码

扫码加入学术交流群,获取更多资源