论文标题
一个基于宏观经济代理的基本模型,用于分析货币制度转移
A basic macroeconomic agent-based model for analyzing monetary regime shifts
论文作者
论文摘要
在宏观经济学中,对替代货币系统的新兴讨论涉及高级金融系统中系统性风险的维度。货币制度的变化是为了实现更可持续的金融体系的目标,已经在几个欧洲议会中讨论了,并且是瑞士的全民公决。但是,它们关于宏观财务稳定性的有效性和功效并不众所周知。本文在新型的模拟环境中介绍了基于宏观经济的代理模型(MABM),以模拟当前的货币系统,该系统可以作为实施和分析货币状况转移的基础。在这种情况下,货币制度会影响银行的贷款潜力,并可能影响金融危机的动态。预定了MABM,以复制新兴的金融危机动态,分析金融体系内的机构变化,从而衡量宏观金融稳定性。使用的模拟环境使模型更容易访问,并促进了以不太复杂的方式探索不同假设和机制的影响。该模型复制了广泛的风格化经济事实,包括简化假设以降低模型复杂性。
In macroeconomics, an emerging discussion of alternative monetary systems addresses the dimensions of systemic risk in advanced financial systems. Monetary regime changes with the aim of achieving a more sustainable financial system have already been discussed in several European parliaments and were the subject of a referendum in Switzerland. However, their effectiveness and efficacy concerning macro-financial stability are not well-known. This paper introduces a macroeconomic agent-based model (MABM) in a novel simulation environment to simulate the current monetary system, which may serve as a basis to implement and analyze monetary regime shifts. In this context, the monetary system affects the lending potential of banks and might impact the dynamics of financial crises. MABMs are predestined to replicate emergent financial crisis dynamics, analyze institutional changes within a financial system, and thus measure macro-financial stability. The used simulation environment makes the model more accessible and facilitates exploring the impact of different hypotheses and mechanisms in a less complex way. The model replicates a wide range of stylized economic facts, including simplifying assumptions to reduce model complexity.