论文标题

预测模型的可行性研究建议,以通过分析疫苗利用来预测COVID-19的人口易感性,以建议部署助推器剂量

A feasibility study proposal of the predictive model to enable the prediction of population susceptibility to COVID-19 by analysis of vaccine utilization for advising deployment of a booster dose

论文作者

Jittprasong, Chottiwatt

论文摘要

随着目前的B1.1.529或Omicron在全球范围内传播的高度感染性的SARS-COV-2菌株,人们担心Covid-19的大流行将不会很快结束,并且将是与时间的竞赛,直到出现更具传染性和强烈的变体。预防病毒传播的最有希望的方法之一是维持人群中的连续高疫苗接种效率,从而增强人口保护作用,并防止疫苗接种人群中的大多数感染,这是Omicron频繁发生的,这是疫苗接种效应。各国必须根据人口对感染的敏感性构建疫苗接种计划,从而通过逐步提供疫苗以保护大多数人群来优化疫苗接种工作。我们提出了一项可行性研究建议,用于通过评估易感人群,人群中疫苗疗效的下降以及建议助推器剂量部署来维持最佳的连续疫苗接种,以通过使用预测模型来维持人群的保护效率。已经朝着分析疫苗利用的方向进行了许多研究。但是,几乎没有进行研究以证实借助机器学习算法的预测模型来证实增强剂量疫苗接种的最佳部署。

With the present highly infectious dominant SARS-CoV-2 strain of B1.1.529 or Omicron spreading around the globe, there is concern that the COVID-19 pandemic will not end soon and that it will be a race against time until a more contagious and virulent variant emerges. One of the most promising approaches for preventing virus propagation is to maintain continuous high vaccination efficacy among the population, thereby strengthening the population protective effect and preventing the majority of infection in the vaccinated population, as is known to occur with the Omicron variant frequently. Countries must structure vaccination programs in accordance with their populations' susceptibility to infection, optimizing vaccination efforts by delivering vaccines progressively enough to protect the majority of the population. We present a feasibility study proposal for maintaining optimal continuous vaccination by assessing the susceptible population, the decline of vaccine efficacy in the population, and advising booster dosage deployment to maintain the population's protective efficacy through the use of a predictive model. Numerous studies have been conducted in the direction of analyzing vaccine utilization; however, very little study has been conducted to substantiate the optimal deployment of booster dosage vaccination with the help of a predictive model based on machine learning algorithms.

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