论文标题

量化安全学校活动的协议

Quantifying protocols for safe school activities

论文作者

Genari, Juliano, Goedert, Guilherme Tegoni, Lira, Sergio H. A., Oliveira, Krerley, Barbosa, Adriano, Lima, Allysson, Silva, Jose Augusto, Oliveira, Hugo, Maciel, Maurıcio, Ledoino, Ismael, Resende, Lucas, Santos, Edmilson Roque dos, Marchesin, Dan, Struchiner, Claudio J., Pereira, Tiago

论文摘要

到2020年4月8日的Covid-19限制限制的高峰时,在188个国家 /地区的15亿名学生中止了学校的身体出勤。随着疫苗接种运动的发展,学校是首批重新开放的服务。随着新变体和感染浪潮的出现,现在的问题是为继续学校活动找到安全的协议。我们需要了解这些方案在不同水平的疫苗接种覆盖范围内的可靠性,因为许多国家的人口占疫苗接种的一部分,包括覆盖范围约为8%的乌干达。我们调查面对面类别在不同方案下的影响,并量化城市中受感染者的盈余数量。在学校关闭时,使用感染传播作为基准,我们评估了体育学院在流通较差的教室中出勤的影响。我们发现,(i)仅戴着低质量面具的人恢复学校活动,即使所有员工接种疫苗接种疫苗,案件范围内的数量也增加了五倍,(ii)恢复活动的活动,学生戴着N95S戴着N95的员工戴着大约三倍的速度增长,(III)与高品质的监控相结合,即使是效率低下的活动,即使是有效的效果,甚至可以进行效率低下的效果,甚至可以进行效率低下。这些结果突出了戴面膜的有效性。与ICU成本相比,高质量的口罩价格便宜,可以帮助遏制扩散。只要实施正确的措施集,就可以安全地进行类。

By the peak of COVID-19 restrictions on April 8, 2020, up to 1.5 billion students across 188 countries were by the suspension of physical attendance in schools. Schools were among the first services to reopen as vaccination campaigns advanced. With the emergence of new variants and infection waves, the question now is to find safe protocols for the continuation of school activities. We need to understand how reliable these protocols are under different levels of vaccination coverage, as many countries have a meager fraction of their population vaccinated, including Uganda where the coverage is about 8\%. We investigate the impact of face-to-face classes under different protocols and quantify the surplus number of infected individuals in a city. Using the infection transmission when schools were closed as a baseline, we assess the impact of physical school attendance in classrooms with poor air circulation. We find that (i) resuming school activities with people only wearing low-quality masks leads to a near fivefold city-wide increase in the number of cases even if all staff is vaccinated, (ii) resuming activities with students wearing good-quality masks and staff wearing N95s leads to about a threefold increase, (iii) combining high-quality masks and active monitoring, activities may be carried out safely even with low vaccination coverage. These results highlight the effectiveness of good mask-wearing. Compared to ICU costs, high-quality masks are inexpensive and can help curb the spreading. Classes can be carried out safely, provided the correct set of measures are implemented.

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