论文标题
部分可观测时空混沌系统的无模型预测
Practical data monitoring in the internet-services domain
论文作者
论文摘要
储层计算是预测湍流的有力工具，其简单的架构具有处理大型系统的计算效率。然而，其实现通常需要完整的状态向量测量和系统非线性知识。我们使用非线性投影函数将系统测量扩展到高维空间，然后将其输入到储层中以获得预测。我们展示了这种储层计算网络在时空混沌系统上的应用，该系统模拟了湍流的若干特征。我们表明，使用径向基函数作为非线性投影器，即使只有部分观测并且不知道控制方程，也能稳健地捕捉复杂的系统非线性。最后，我们表明，当测量稀疏、不完整且带有噪声，甚至控制方程变得不准确时，我们的网络仍然可以产生相当准确的预测，从而为实际湍流系统的无模型预测铺平了道路。
Large-scale monitoring, anomaly detection, and root cause analysis of metrics are essential requirements of the internet-services industry. To address the need to continuously monitor millions of metrics, many anomaly detection approaches are being used on a daily basis by large internet-based companies. However, in spite of the significant progress made to accurately and efficiently detect anomalies in metrics, the sheer scale of the number of metrics has meant there are still a large number of false alarms that need to be investigated. This paper presents a framework for reliable large-scale anomaly detection. It is significantly more accurate than existing approaches and allows for easy interpretation of models, thus enabling practical data monitoring in the internet-services domain.
