论文标题

最佳安排公共安全电力关闭

Optimally Scheduling Public Safety Power Shutoffs

论文作者

Lesage-Landry, Antoine, Pellerin, Félix, Taylor, Joshua A., Callaway, Duncan S.

论文摘要

为了减少电力系统引起的野火,公用事业执行了公共安全功率关闭(PSP),其中部分网格被降低以减轻点火风险。呼叫PSP的决定必须平衡减少点火风险和服务中断的负面影响。在这项工作中,我们考虑了三种PSP调度方案,我们将其模拟为动态程序。在前两种情况下,我们假设N PSPS是投资策略的一部分。在第一种情况下,每个PSP宣布经过第n个事件的罚款。在第二个中,我们假设如果PSPS的数量低于$ n $,则可以收回一些费用,而如果高于N,则仍然受到罚款。在第三次中,系统运营商希望最大程度地减少PSP的数量,以使总预期成本低于门槛。我们为每种情况提供最佳或渐进的最佳策略,其中前两个具有封闭形式的表达式。最后,我们确定了第一个PSPS模型在关键的高峰定价中的适用性,并获得最佳的调度策略,以根据天气观察来减少峰值需求。

In an effort to reduce power system-caused wildfires, utilities carry out public safety power shutoffs (PSPS) in which portions of the grid are de-energized to mitigate the risk of ignition. The decision to call a PSPS must balance reducing ignition risks and the negative impact of service interruptions. In this work, we consider three PSPS scheduling scenarios, which we model as dynamic programs. In the first two scenarios, we assume that N PSPSs are budgeted as part of the investment strategy. In the first scenario, a penalty is incurred for each PSPS declared past the Nth event. In the second, we assume that some costs can be recovered if the number of PSPSs is below $N$ while still being subject to a penalty if above N. In the third, the system operator wants to minimize the number of PSPS such that the total expected cost is below a threshold. We provide optimal or asymptotically optimal policies for each case, the first two of which have closed-form expressions. Lastly, we establish the applicability of the first PSPS model's policy to critical-peak pricing, and obtain an optimal scheduling policy to reduce the peak demand based on weather observations.

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