论文标题
部分可观测时空混沌系统的无模型预测
Sampling Ex-Post Group-Fair Rankings
论文作者
论文摘要
储层计算是预测湍流的有力工具,其简单的架构具有处理大型系统的计算效率。然而,其实现通常需要完整的状态向量测量和系统非线性知识。我们使用非线性投影函数将系统测量扩展到高维空间,然后将其输入到储层中以获得预测。我们展示了这种储层计算网络在时空混沌系统上的应用,该系统模拟了湍流的若干特征。我们表明,使用径向基函数作为非线性投影器,即使只有部分观测并且不知道控制方程,也能稳健地捕捉复杂的系统非线性。最后,我们表明,当测量稀疏、不完整且带有噪声,甚至控制方程变得不准确时,我们的网络仍然可以产生相当准确的预测,从而为实际湍流系统的无模型预测铺平了道路。
Randomized rankings have been of recent interest to achieve ex-ante fairer exposure and better robustness than deterministic rankings. We propose a set of natural axioms for randomized group-fair rankings and prove that there exists a unique distribution $D$ that satisfies our axioms and is supported only over ex-post group-fair rankings, i.e., rankings that satisfy given lower and upper bounds on group-wise representation in the top-$k$ ranks. Our problem formulation works even when there is implicit bias, incomplete relevance information, or only ordinal ranking is available instead of relevance scores or utility values. We propose two algorithms to sample a random group-fair ranking from the distribution $D$ mentioned above. Our first dynamic programming-based algorithm samples ex-post group-fair rankings uniformly at random in time $O(k^2\ell)$, where $\ell$ is the number of groups. Our second random walk-based algorithm samples ex-post group-fair rankings from a distribution $δ$-close to $D$ in total variation distance and has expected running time $O^*(k^2\ell^2)$, when there is a sufficient gap between the given upper and lower bounds on the group-wise representation. The former does exact sampling, but the latter runs significantly faster on real-world data sets for larger values of $k$. We give empirical evidence that our algorithms compare favorably against recent baselines for fairness and ranking utility on real-world data sets.