论文标题

估计扭结阈值和测试连续性时的最小风险

Minimax Risk in Estimating Kink Threshold and Testing Continuity

论文作者

Hidalgo, Javier, Lee, Heejun, Lee, Jungyoon, Seo, Myung Hwan

论文摘要

在估计阈值参数的情况下,我们在不知道阈值回归模型是否连续的情况下得出了风险下限。随着样本量$ n $仅以立方根速率生长,界限为零。在这一发现的激励下,我们开发了针对阈值回归模型的连续性测试,并为计算其\ textit {p}值的引导程序。建立了引导程序的有效性,并通过蒙特卡洛模拟探索其有限样品特性。

We derive a risk lower bound in estimating the threshold parameter without knowing whether the threshold regression model is continuous or not. The bound goes to zero as the sample size $ n $ grows only at the cube root rate. Motivated by this finding, we develop a continuity test for the threshold regression model and a bootstrap to compute its \textit{p}-values. The validity of the bootstrap is established, and its finite sample property is explored through Monte Carlo simulations.

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