论文标题
评估非药物干预措施和最佳策略,用于含有COVID-19
Evaluation of non-pharmaceutical interventions and optimal strategies for containing the COVID-19 pandemic
论文作者
论文摘要
鉴于多种新的Covid-19变体是不断出现的,因此非药物干预措施仍然是遏制冠状病毒进一步传播的主要控制策略。但是,在长时间内实施严格的干预措施不可避免地会损害经济。为了解决这个多目标决策问题,我们研究了策略,流动性模式和病毒传播之间的基本关联。我们进一步评估了现有的COVID-19控制措施的相对绩效,并探讨了潜在的最佳策略,这些策略可以在美国各个国家的公共卫生与社会经济恢复之间取得正确的平衡。结果突出了紧急宣言状态和戴着口罩的力量,并强调了针对流行病学传播的不同状态和阶段进行量身定制的策略的必要性。我们的框架使政策制定者能够创建更精致的COVID-19策略设计,并可以扩展到政策制定者有关大流行反应中最佳实践的信息。
Given multiple new COVID-19 variants are continuously emerging, non-pharmaceutical interventions are still primary control strategies to curb the further spread of coronavirus. However, implementing strict interventions over extended periods of time is inevitably hurting the economy. With an aim to solve this multi-objective decision-making problem, we investigate the underlying associations between policies, mobility patterns, and virus transmission. We further evaluate the relative performance of existing COVID-19 control measures and explore potential optimal strategies that can strike the right balance between public health and socio-economic recovery for individual states in the US. The results highlight the power of state of emergency declaration and wearing face masks and emphasize the necessity of pursuing tailor-made strategies for different states and phases of epidemiological transmission. Our framework enables policymakers to create more refined designs of COVID-19 strategies and can be extended to inform policy makers of any country about best practices in pandemic response.