论文标题
骑车对计划外的铁路破坏做出响应吗?自然实验分析机动性弹性和差异
Does ridesourcing respond to unplanned rail disruptions? A natural experiment analysis of mobility resilience and disparity
论文作者
论文摘要
城市铁路运输网络在许多城市系统中为机会和生计提供了关键的机会。确保这些服务具有弹性(也就是说,表现出对干扰的有效响应和恢复)是一个关键的经济和社会优先事项。越来越多的城市铁路系统应对中断的能力是复杂的移动性选项拼凑而成的函数,其中替代模式可以补充和填补服务空白。这项研究分析了乘坐在提供适应性流动能力方面的作用,这些作用可以利用,以填补铁路运输服务中无用的空白,从而解决了弹性的分配影响问题。使用自然实验,我们在芝加哥一年中系统地确定了28个重大的过境中断,并在时间和空间上与骑行旅行数据相匹配。使用多级混合建模,我们量化了种族和经济多元化城市芝加哥的按需移动性自适应使用的变化。我们的发现表明,在铁路运输中断期间,自适应骑行的差距填充潜力受到车站,社区和地区级别因素的显着影响。具体而言,在工作日,非霍顿和更严重的干扰,在白人居民和过境通勤者中以及该市较富裕的北部地区的社区地区发生更大的转变。这些发现表明,虽然骑车在铁路中断期间似乎提供了自适应能力,但对于已经经历了有限的出行选择有限的有限的颜色社区,其收益似乎并不公平。
Urban rail transit networks provide critical access to opportunities and livelihood in many urban systems. Ensuring that these services are resilient (that is, exhibiting efficient response to and recovery from disruptions) is a key economic and social priority. Increasingly, the ability of urban rail systems to cope with disruptions is a function of a complex patchwork of mobility options, wherein alternative modes can complement and fill service gaps. This study analyzes the role of ridesourcing in providing adaptive mobility capacity that could be leveraged to fill no-notice gaps in rail transit services, addressing the question of distributional impacts of resilience. Using a natural experiment, we systematically identify 28 major transit disruptions over the period of one year in Chicago and match them, both temporally and spatially, with ridesourcing trip data. Using multilevel mixed modeling, we quantify variation in the adaptive use of on-demand mobility across the racially and economically diverse city of Chicago. Our findings show that the gap-filling potential of adaptive ridesourcing during rail transit disruptions is significantly influenced by station-, community-, and district-level factors. Specifically, greater shifts to ridesourcing occur during weekdays, nonholidays, and more severe disruptions, in community areas that have higher percentages of White residents and transit commuters, and in the more affluent North district of the city. These findings suggest that while ridesourcing appears to provide adaptive capacity during rail disruptions, its benefits do not appear to be equitable for lower-income communities of color that already experience limited mobility options.