论文标题
复杂系统中因果影响的光谱排名
Spectral Ranking of Causal Influence in Complex Systems
论文作者
论文摘要
像天然复杂系统(例如地球的气候或活细胞)一样,半导体光刻系统的特征是在时空和时间上有十几个数量级的非线性动力学。成千上万的传感器以适当的采样率来测量相关的过程变量,以提供时间序列作为系统诊断的主要来源。但是,仅通过使用基于模型的方法来有效诊断稀有或新的系统问题,数据的高维,非线性和非平稳性仍然是一个主要挑战。为了减少因果搜索空间,我们验证了一种应用转移熵的算法,从系统的多元时间序列和图形特征向量中心性获得加权的有向图,以识别系统最有影响力的参数。结果表明,即使其信息传输网络包含冗余边缘,这种方法也可以牢固地识别复杂系统中的真正影响力。
Like natural complex systems such as the Earth's climate or a living cell, semiconductor lithography systems are characterized by nonlinear dynamics across more than a dozen orders of magnitude in space and time. Thousands of sensors measure relevant process variables at appropriate sampling rates, to provide time series as primary sources for system diagnostics. However, high-dimensionality, non-linearity and non-stationarity of data remain a major challenge to effectively diagnose rare or new system issues by merely using model-based approaches. To reduce the causal search space, we validate an algorithm that applies transfer entropy to obtain a weighted directed graph from a system's multivariate time series and graph eigenvector centrality to identify the system's most influential parameters. The results suggest that this approach robustly identifies the true influential sources in a complex system, even when its information transfer network includes redundant edges.