论文标题

集体行动的动力,以节省大型的普通池资源

Dynamics of collective action to conserve a large common-pool resource

论文作者

Andersson, David, Bratsberg, Sigrid, Ringsmuth, Andrew K., de Wijn, Astrid S.

论文摘要

未来几十年的紧迫挑战是可持续的,并且仅管理大规模的普通池资源,包括气氛,生物多样性和公共服务。这构成了一个困难的集体行动问题,因为这样的资源可能不会表明在悲剧几乎是不可避免的之前,需要使用使用限制。为了解决这个问题,必须在现行的社会政治环境中实现与亲保留行为规范的足够水平的合作,以使采取有效的行动及时。在这里,我们研究了在结构化网络上基于代理的模型中的行为变化的瞬态动力学,这些模型也暴露于全球外部影响。我们发现,即使没有有限的信心,极化也自然出现,但是对于理性动机的代理人来说,这是暂时的。收敛速度与最终共识的速度受到溶解的偏光簇的速率控制。这在很大程度上取决于外部影响和网络拓扑的结合。需要高连通性和有利的环境来快速获得最终共识。

A pressing challenge for coming decades is sustainable and just management of large-scale common-pool resources including the atmosphere, biodiversity and public services. This poses a difficult collective action problem because such resources may not show signs that usage restraint is needed until tragedy is almost inevitable. To solve this problem, a sufficient level of cooperation with a pro-conservation behavioural norm must be achieved, within the prevailing sociopolitical environment, in time for the action taken to be effective. Here we investigate the transient dynamics of behavioural change in an agent-based model on structured networks that are also exposed to a global external influence. We find that polarisation emerges naturally, even without bounded confidence, but that for rationally motivated agents, it is temporary. The speed of convergence to a final consensus is controlled by the rate at which the polarised clusters are dissolved. This depends strongly on the combination of external influences and the network topology. Both high connectivity and a favourable environment are needed to rapidly obtain final consensus.

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