论文标题

说服一厢的思想家

Persuading a Wishful Thinker

论文作者

Augias, Victor, Barreto, Daniel M. A.

论文摘要

我们研究了一个说服力问题,其中发送者设计了信息结构来诱导非bayesian接收器采取特定动作。接收者私下了解他的偏好,是一厢情愿的思想家:他对最有利的结果有系统地过度占有率。我们表明,一厢情愿可以导致与贝叶斯案相比,每当发件人对接收者认为是他的决策问题中最佳结果的最佳结果时,与贝叶斯案相比,最佳说服力结构的定性转变。

We study a persuasion problem in which a sender designs an information structure to induce a non-Bayesian receiver to take a particular action. The receiver, who is privately informed about his preferences, is a wishful thinker: he is systematically overoptimistic about the most favorable outcomes. We show that wishful thinking can lead to a qualitative shift in the structure of optimal persuasion compared to the Bayesian case, whenever the sender is uncertain about what the receiver perceives as the best-case outcome in his decision problem.

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