论文标题
热手及其对NBA的影响
The Hot Hand and Its Effect on the NBA
论文作者
论文摘要
本文旨在重新审视和扩展篮球中“热手”现象的先前工作，特别是在NBA中。使用较大的现代数据集，我们测试了射击模式的条纹和罚球射击中的热手行为，同时通过检查全联盟范围内的热手趋势和个人球员行为的变化而进一步进行。此外，我们进行仿真以评估其力量。虽然我们没有发现游戏玩法中热手的证据，而在罚球比赛中只有弱证据，但我们发现一些NBA球员根据他们上一张射击的结果表现出行为变化。
This paper aims to revisit and expand upon previous work on the "hot hand" phenomenon in basketball, specifically in the NBA. Using larger, modern data sets, we test streakiness of shooting patterns and the presence of hot hand behavior in free throw shooting, while going further by examining league-wide hot hand trends and the changes in individual player behavior. Additionally, we perform simulations in order to assess their power. While we find no evidence of the hot hand in game-play and only weak evidence in free throw trials, we find that some NBA players exhibit behavioral changes based on the outcome of their previous shot.
