论文标题
使用图神经网络的时间,天气和位置特异性,道路事故倾斜度指标
Road Accident Proneness Indicator Based On Time, Weather And Location Specificity Using Graph Neural Networks
论文作者
论文摘要
在本文中,我们提出了一种新的方法来确定影响道路安全性并根据这些特征预测其事故倾向的时空和环境特征。根据一条道路沿线的时间,天气和位置(TWL)特异性,总共收集了14个功能。为了确定14个特征携带的每个影响的影响,使用主成分分析进行了灵敏度研究。使用事故警告的位置,开发了一个安全指数,以量化特定道路容易发事故的程度。我们实施一种新颖的方法,通过使用图形神经网络(GNN)体系结构来预测基于道路的TWL特异性的安全指数。该提议的体系结构非常适合此应用程序,因为它能够捕获庞大的特征空间中固有的非线性相互联系的复杂性。我们采用了GNN将TWL特征向量作为单个节点效仿,这些节点相对于图形的边缘相互链接。该模型经过验证,可以比逻辑回归,简单的前馈神经网络甚至长期记忆(LSTM)神经网络更好。我们在包含州际总线途径的数据集上验证了我们的方法。通过这种GNN架构实现的结果,使用TWL输入特征空间被证明比其他预测模型更可行,并且达到了65%的峰精度。
In this paper, we present a novel approach to identify the Spatio-temporal and environmental features that influence the safety of a road and predict its accident proneness based on these features. A total of 14 features were compiled based on Time, Weather, and Location (TWL) specificity along a road. To determine the influence each of the 14 features carries, a sensitivity study was performed using Principal Component Analysis. Using the locations of accident warnings, a Safety Index was developed to quantify how accident-prone a particular road is. We implement a novel approach to predict the Safety Index of a road-based on its TWL specificity by using a Graph Neural Network (GNN) architecture. The proposed architecture is uniquely suited for this application due to its ability to capture the complexities of the inherent nonlinear interlinking in a vast feature space. We employed a GNN to emulate the TWL feature vectors as individual nodes which were interlinked vis-à-vis edges of a graph. This model was verified to perform better than Logistic Regression, simple Feed-Forward Neural Networks, and even Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) Neural Networks. We validated our approach on a data set containing the alert locations along the routes of inter-state buses. The results achieved through this GNN architecture, using a TWL input feature space proved to be more feasible than the other predictive models, having reached a peak accuracy of 65%.