论文标题

为高度可再生能源系统建模所有替代解决方案

Modeling all alternative solutions for highly renewable energy systems

论文作者

Pedersen, Tim T., Victoria, Marta, Rasmussen, Morten G., Andresen, Gorm B.

论文摘要

随着世界向高度可再生能源系统过渡,需要先进的工具来分析此类复杂的网络。但是,能源系统设计受到现实世界目标功能的挑战,这些功能由技术和社会经济议程的模糊组合组成,并不能总是明确说明局限性。结果,在技术经济上次优的解决方案很有可能是可取的。在这里,我们提出了一种能够确定包含所有技术经济上近乎最佳解决方案的连续体的方法,将能源系统建模领域从离散解决方案转移到可用的连续解决方案范围的新时代。提出的方法用于研究欧洲电力系统模型的一系列技术和社会经济指标。发现近乎最佳的区域相对平坦,可以使解决方案略高于最佳,但在平等,土地使用和实施时间方面更好。

As the world is transitioning towards highly renewable energy systems, advanced tools are needed to analyze such complex networks. Energy system design is, however, challenged by real-world objective functions consisting of a blurry mix of technical and socioeconomic agendas, with limitations that cannot always be clearly stated. As a result, it is highly likely that solutions which are techno-economically suboptimal will be preferable. Here, we present a method capable of determining the continuum containing all techno-economically near-optimal solutions, moving the field of energy system modeling from discrete solutions to a new era where continuous solution ranges are available. The presented method is applied to study a range of technical and socioeconomic metrics on a model of the European electricity system. The near-optimal region is found to be relatively flat allowing for solutions that are slightly more expensive than the optimum but better in terms of equality, land use, and implementation time.

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