论文标题
游戏理论以增强个人保护设备(PPE)的库存管理期间的股票管理
Game theory to enhance stock management of Personal Protective Equipment (PPE) during the COVID-19 outbreak
论文作者
论文摘要
自COVID-19大流行病爆发以来,许多医疗机构的医疗资源短缺,尤其是个人保护设备(PPE)。在本文中,我们提出了一种游戏理论方法,以在医疗机构之间安排PPE订单。在这个PPE游戏中,每个独立的医疗机构都可以优化其自身的存储利用,以使其PPE成本最低。当应用于可变的PPE消耗概况时,这种模型可以大大减少峰值需求。使用实际数据为NHS英格兰地区进行的实验证实,如果采用适当的库存管理程序,可以减轻在灾难中确保PPE供应的挑战。这些程序可以包括早期库存,提高存储能力和实施措施,这些措施可以延长连续感染波(例如社会距离措施)之间的时间段。仿真结果表明,在第二波Covid-19感染发生第二波时,PPE专用存储空间的提供可以是避免过滤PPE供应链的可行解决方案。
Since the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, many healthcare facilities have suffered from shortages in medical resources, particularly in Personal Protective Equipment (PPE). In this paper, we propose a game-theoretic approach to schedule PPE orders among healthcare facilities. In this PPE game, each independent healthcare facility optimises its own storage utilisation in order to keep its PPE cost at a minimum. Such a model can reduce peak demand considerably when applied to a variable PPE consumption profile. Experiments conducted for NHS England regions using actual data confirm that the challenge of securing PPE supply during disasters such as COVID-19 can be eased if proper stock management procedures are adopted. These procedures can include early stockpiling, increasing storage capacities and implementing measures that can prolong the time period between successive infection waves, such as social distancing measures. Simulation results suggest that the provision of PPE dedicated storage space can be a viable solution to avoid straining PPE supply chains in case a second wave of COVID-19 infections occurs.