论文标题
智能建筑中室内温度预测和加热控制的顺序建模方法
A Sequential Modelling Approach for Indoor Temperature Prediction and Heating Control in Smart Buildings
论文作者
论文摘要
大量数据的可用性以及增加的计算能力的增加,已使网络物理系统(CPS),物联网(IoT)和智能建筑网络(SBN)的域中广泛应用统计机器学习(ML)算法。本文提出了一个基于学习的框架,用于顺序应用数据驱动的统计方法来预测室内温度并产生用于控制建筑加热系统的算法。该框架由两阶段的建模工作组成:在第一阶段,采用单变量时间序列模型(AR)来预测环境条件;与其他控制变量一起,它们充当了第二阶段建模的输入功能,其中部署了多元ML模型(XGBoost)。这些模型是通过建立传感器网络测量的现实世界数据进行培训的,并用于预测未来的温度轨迹。实验结果证明了建模方法和控制算法的有效性,并揭示了混合数据驱动方法在智能建筑应用中的潜在潜力。通过明智地使用IoT感官数据和ML算法,这项工作有助于智能建筑中的有效能源管理和可持续性。
The rising availability of large volume data, along with increasing computing power, has enabled a wide application of statistical Machine Learning (ML) algorithms in the domains of Cyber-Physical Systems (CPS), Internet of Things (IoT) and Smart Building Networks (SBN). This paper proposes a learning-based framework for sequentially applying the data-driven statistical methods to predict indoor temperature and yields an algorithm for controlling building heating system accordingly. This framework consists of a two-stage modelling effort: in the first stage, an univariate time series model (AR) was employed to predict ambient conditions; together with other control variables, they served as the input features for a second stage modelling where an multivariate ML model (XGBoost) was deployed. The models were trained with real world data from building sensor network measurements, and used to predict future temperature trajectories. Experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness of the modelling approach and control algorithm, and reveal the promising potential of the mixed data-driven approach in smart building applications. By making wise use of IoT sensory data and ML algorithms, this work contributes to efficient energy management and sustainability in smart buildings.