论文标题
信息灾难
The Information Catastrophe
论文作者
论文摘要
目前，我们每年在地球上每年生产10个数字信息。假设年龄达到20％，我们估计从现在开始350年，生产的位数将超过地球上所有原子的数量，或10到50幂。250年后，维持这种数字产量所需的功率将超过18.5 TW，或者今天的总行星总功耗将超过今天的数字内容，而数字内容将超过一半的数字内容。除了现有的全球挑战，例如气候，环境，人口，食品，健康，能源和安全性外，我们的估计还指出了我们星球的另一个奇异事件，称为信息灾难。
Currently we produce 10 to power 21 digital bits of information annually on Earth. Assuming 20 percent annual growth rate, we estimate that 350 years from now, the number of bits produced will exceed the number of all atoms on Earth, or 10 to power 50. After 250 years, the power required to sustain this digital production will exceed 18.5 TW, or the total planetary power consumption today, and 500 years from now the digital content will account for more than half of the Earths mass, according to the mass energy information equivalence principle. Besides the existing global challenges such as climate, environment, population, food, health, energy and security, our estimates here point to another singularity event for our planet, called the Information Catastrophe.
