论文标题

制定模块评估,以提高高等教育的学业成绩可预测性

Formulating Module Assessment for Improved Academic Performance Predictability in Higher Education

论文作者

Alsuwaiket, Mohammed, Blasi, Anas H., Al-Msie'deen, Ra'Fat

论文摘要

各种研究表明,通过基于课程的评估方法进行评估时,学生倾向于获得更高的分数,其中包括通过课程进行完全评估的模块或课程工作和考试的混合,而不是单独考试。有大量的教育数据挖掘研究通过传统的数据挖掘过程(包括数据准备过程)进行预处理数据,但是他们在不查看考试和课程结果加权的情况下使用成绩单数据,这可能会影响预测准确性。本文通过研究230000多个学生记录,提出了不同的数据准备过程,以便根据注册模块的评估方法为学生做好准备。数据已通过不同的阶段处理,以提取一个分类因素,在数据准备过程中,学生模块标记得到了完善。这项工作的结果表明,学生最终分数不应与注册模块评估方法的性质隔离。必须对它们进行彻底研究并在EDMS数据预处理阶段进行研究。更一般地,可以得出结论,由于差异与数据源,应用程序和其中的错误类型,因此不应以与其他数据类型相同的方式制备教育数据。因此,建议使用属性,课程评估比率,以便在准备学生成绩单数据的同时考虑不同的模块评估方法。已经研究了使用随机森林分类技术的汽车对预测过程的影响。结果表明,将汽车视为属性会提高根据第一年的结果预测学生第二年的准确性。

Various studies have shown that students tend to get higher marks when assessed through coursework based assessment methods which include either modules that are fully assessed through coursework or a mixture of coursework and examinations than assessed by examination alone. There are a large number of educational data mining studies that preprocess data through conventional data mining processes including data preparation process, but they are using transcript data as they stand without looking at examination and coursework results weighting which could affect prediction accuracy. This paper proposes a different data preparation process through investigating more than 230000 student records in order to prepare students marks based on the assessment methods of enrolled modules. The data have been processed through different stages in order to extract a categorical factor through which students module marks are refined during the data preparation process. The results of this work show that students final marks should not be isolated from the nature of the enrolled modules assessment methods. They must rather be investigated thoroughly and considered during EDMs data preprocessing phases. More generally, it is concluded that educational data should not be prepared in the same way as other data types due to differences as data sources, applications, and types of errors in them. Therefore, an attribute, coursework assessment ratio, is proposed to be used in order to take the different modules assessment methods into account while preparing student transcript data. The effect of CAR on prediction process using the random forest classification technique has been investigated. It is shown that considering CAR as an attribute increases the accuracy of predicting students second year averages based on their first year results.

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