论文标题
COVID-19
Statistical Analytics and Regional Representation Learning for COVID-19 Pandemic Understanding
论文作者
论文摘要
新颖的冠状病毒(Covid-19)的迅速传播严重影响了世界上几乎所有国家。它不仅给医疗保健提供者带来了巨大的负担,而且还对经济和社会生活产生了严重的影响。可靠数据的存在以及深入的统计分析结果为研究人员和决策者提供了宝贵的信息,以更清楚地了解这种大流行及其生长模式。本文结合并处理了广泛的公开数据集集合,为代表与大流行有关的行为的地理区域提供了统一的信息源。这些功能分为各种类别,以根据与之相关的高级概念来解释其影响。这项工作使用多种相关分析技术来观察特征,特征组和COVID-19发生之间的价值和顺序关系。降低降低技术和投影方法用于详细说明这些代表性特征的个人和群体重要性。在这项工作中提出了一种基于RNN的特定推理管道,称为DoubleWindowLSTM-CP进行预测事件建模。它利用顺序模式,并在使用最少数量的历史数据时启用简洁的记录表示。我们的统计分析的定量结果表明,批判模式反映了许多预期的集体行为及其相关结果。使用双翼dindowlstm-CP实例进行预测性建模在定量和定性评估中表现出有效的性能,同时减少了对大流行的扩展和可靠的历史信息的需求。
The rapid spread of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) has severely impacted almost all countries around the world. It not only has caused a tremendous burden on health-care providers to bear, but it has also brought severe impacts on the economy and social life. The presence of reliable data and the results of in-depth statistical analyses provide researchers and policymakers with invaluable information to understand this pandemic and its growth pattern more clearly. This paper combines and processes an extensive collection of publicly available datasets to provide a unified information source for representing geographical regions with regards to their pandemic-related behavior. The features are grouped into various categories to account for their impact based on the higher-level concepts associated with them. This work uses several correlation analysis techniques to observe value and order relationships between features, feature groups, and COVID-19 occurrences. Dimensionality reduction techniques and projection methodologies are used to elaborate on individual and group importance of these representative features. A specific RNN-based inference pipeline called DoubleWindowLSTM-CP is proposed in this work for predictive event modeling. It utilizes sequential patterns and enables concise record representation while using but a minimal amount of historical data. The quantitative results of our statistical analytics indicated critical patterns reflecting on many of the expected collective behavior and their associated outcomes. Predictive modeling with DoubleWindowLSTM-CP instance exhibits efficient performance in quantitative and qualitative assessments while reducing the need for extended and reliable historical information on the pandemic.