论文标题

在乘法噪声下具有合同作用的逻辑收获模型

A Logistic-Harvest Model with Allee Effect under Multiplicative Noise

论文作者

Tesfay, Almaz, Tesfay, Daniel, Brannan, James, Duan, Jinqiao

论文摘要

这项工作致力于对具有和没有质量效应的随机逻辑生长模型的研究。这样的模型描述了在环境随机波动下人群的演变,并且是由乘法高斯噪声驱动的随机微分方程的形式。在相关的Fokker-Planck方程的帮助下,我们分析了人口灭绝概率和达到较大人口大小的概率。我们进一步研究了收获率,噪声强度和Allee对种群进化的影响。分析和数值实验表明,如果噪声强度和收获率很小,人口呈指数增长,并且达到承载能力后,人口大小就会在其周围波动。在没有Allee效应的随机逻辑 - 收获模型中,当噪声强度变小(或变为零)时,固定概率密度变得更加敏锐,其最大点接近一个。但是,对于较大的噪声强度和收获率,人口规模急剧波动,并且并未指数增长到承载能力。因此,就生物学含义而言,我们必须以少量的噪声强度和收获速率捕获。最后,我们讨论了结果的生物学含义。

This work is devoted to the study of a stochastic logistic growth model with and without the Allee effect. Such a model describes the evolution of a population under environmental stochastic fluctuations and is in the form of a stochastic differential equation driven by multiplicative Gaussian noise. With the help of the associated Fokker-Planck equation, we analyze the population extinction probability and the probability of reaching a large population size before reaching a small one. We further study the impact of the harvest rate, noise intensity, and the Allee effect on population evolution. The analysis and numerical experiments show that if the noise intensity and harvest rate are small, the population grows exponentially, and upon reaching the carrying capacity, the population size fluctuates around it. In the stochastic logistic-harvest model without the Allee effect, when noise intensity becomes small (or goes to zero), the stationary probability density becomes more acute and its maximum point approaches one. However, for large noise intensity and harvest rate, the population size fluctuates wildly and does not grow exponentially to the carrying capacity. So as far as biological meanings are concerned, we must catch at small values of noise intensity and harvest rate. Finally, we discuss the biological implications of our results.

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