论文标题

通过对结构因果模型的后门调整来估计因果危险比估计的。

A Causally Formulated Hazard Ratio Estimation through Backdoor Adjustment on Structural Causal Model

论文作者

Adib, Riddhiman, Griffin, Paul, Ahamed, Sheikh Iqbal, Adibuzzaman, Mohammad

论文摘要

确定治疗干预的因果关系是健康科学的基本问题。随机对照试验(RCT)被认为是识别因果关系的黄金标准。但是,基于结构性因果模型(SCM)基础的因果理论的最新进展允许在某些假设下从观察数据中鉴定出因果关系。生存分析提供了标准措施,例如危害比率,以量化干预措施的影响。虽然危险比在RCT的临床和流行病学研究中广泛使用,但不存在一种原则性的方法来计算使用SCM的观察性研究的危害比。在这项工作中,我们会审查现有的计算危险比及其因果解释的方法。我们还提出了一种新的方法,以使用SCM和DO-Calculus的后门调整来计算观察性研究的危害比。最后,我们使用EWING肉瘤的实验数据评估了该方法。

Identifying causal relationships for a treatment intervention is a fundamental problem in health sciences. Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are considered the gold standard for identifying causal relationships. However, recent advancements in the theory of causal inference based on the foundations of structural causal models (SCMs) have allowed the identification of causal relationships from observational data, under certain assumptions. Survival analysis provides standard measures, such as the hazard ratio, to quantify the effects of an intervention. While hazard ratios are widely used in clinical and epidemiological studies for RCTs, a principled approach does not exist to compute hazard ratios for observational studies with SCMs. In this work, we review existing approaches to compute hazard ratios as well as their causal interpretation, if it exists. We also propose a novel approach to compute hazard ratios from observational studies using backdoor adjustment through SCMs and do-calculus. Finally, we evaluate the approach using experimental data for Ewing's sarcoma.

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