论文标题
辛辛那提三态区域的Covid-19模型和模拟
Modeling and Simulation of COVID-19 Pandemic for Cincinnati Tri-State Area
论文作者
论文摘要
在本文中，我们使用SIR模型来模拟辛辛那提三州区域的Covid-19大流行。我们已经建立了辛辛那提的代表人口，其中包括前往商店，学校，工作场所和前往朋友房屋的运动。使用此模型，我们模拟了隔离，重返工作岗位和恐慌购买的效果。我们表明，当人们在商店宣布隔离措施时，在商店出现恐慌购买时，将会有第二波感染，而感染的数量显着增加。
In this paper, we use SIR model to simulate the COVID-19 pandemic for Cincinnati Tri-State Area. We have built a representative population of Cincinnati that includes movements for traveling to stores, schools, workplaces, and traveling to friends houses. Using this model, we simulate the effect of quarantine, return to work, and panic buying. We show that that there will be a second wave of infections when people return to work and significant increase in number of infections when there is panic buying at stores with the announcement of the quarantine measures.
