论文标题

在开放的拥挤空间中,用于感染的广义SEIR模型的分析和细胞自动机方法

Analytical and cellular automaton approach to a generalized SEIR model for infection spread in an open crowded space

论文作者

Nava, Andrea, Papa, Alessandro, Rossi, Marco, Giuliano, Domenico

论文摘要

我们在图上制定了广义易感的裸露感染感(SEIR)模型,描述了带有任意拓扑的开放拥挤的地方的种群动态。作为样本计算,我们通过分析和数值讨论了三种简单的情况,并通过对系统中各个动力学的​​细胞自动机模拟进行了分析和数值。结果,我们提供了系统中的感染比,这是可控参数的函数,该函数允许量化对人类行为的作用可能有效地降低疾病在整个系统中的传播。

We formulate a generalized susceptible exposed infectious recovered (SEIR) model on a graph, describing the population dynamics of an open crowded place with an arbitrary topology. As a sample calculation, we discuss three simple cases, both analytically, and numerically, by means of a cellular automata simulation of the individual dynamics in the system. As a result, we provide the infection ratio in the system as a function of controllable parameters, which allows for quantifying how acting on the human behavior may effectively lower the disease spread throughout the system.

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