论文标题
有限理性下的决策和绩效:一种计算基准方法
Decisions and Performance Under Bounded Rationality: A Computational Benchmarking Approach
论文作者
论文摘要
本文提出了一种分析人类决策的新方法,其中涉及比较专业国际象棋参与者相对于认知有限理性的计算基准的行为。该基准是使用现代国际象棋发动机的算法构建的,并允许在单个逐步观测级别的行为上进行研究,从而代表了计算界限优化的自然基准。该分析通过隔离界限有限理性的基准及其对绩效的原因和后果来提供新的见解。研究结果记录了行为偏差的几个不同方面的存在,这与损失和收益,时间压力,疲劳和复杂性方面与不对称位置评估有关。结果还记录了与基准的偏差不一定会带来较差的性能。更快的决策与更频繁的基准偏差有关,但它们也与更好的性能有关。这些发现与直觉和经验的重要影响一致,从而为有关认知过程中计算合理性的最近辩论提供了新的启示。
This paper presents a novel approach to analyze human decision-making that involves comparing the behavior of professional chess players relative to a computational benchmark of cognitively bounded rationality. This benchmark is constructed using algorithms of modern chess engines and allows investigating behavior at the level of individual move-by-move observations, thus representing a natural benchmark for computationally bounded optimization. The analysis delivers novel insights by isolating deviations from this benchmark of bounded rationality as well as their causes and consequences for performance. The findings document the existence of several distinct dimensions of behavioral deviations, which are related to asymmetric positional evaluation in terms of losses and gains, time pressure, fatigue, and complexity. The results also document that deviations from the benchmark do not necessarily entail worse performance. Faster decisions are associated with more frequent deviations from the benchmark, yet they are also associated with better performance. The findings are consistent with an important influence of intuition and experience, thereby shedding new light on the recent debate about computational rationality in cognitive processes.