论文标题

保险金套利

Insurance-Finance Arbitrage

论文作者

Artzner, Philippe, Eisele, Karl-Theodor, Schmidt, Thorsten

论文摘要

大多数保险合同固有地与金融市场有关,无论是通过利率而言,还是作为股票与股票挂钩的人寿保险和可变年金等混合产品直接与股票或指数直接相关的。但是,保险合同不适合贸易,除非有时向销售办公室投降。这通过以不同的价格买卖保险合同来排除套利情况。此外,保险公司在有关金融市场的公开可用信息之上使用私人信息。本文提供了与金融市场交易有关的保险合同一致性的研究,并明确提及所涉及的信息。 通过定义保险投资组合的策略并将其与财务交易策略相结合,我们得出了保险金额套利的概念(IFA)。类似于资产定价的古典基本定理,我们就缺乏IFA的基本定理给出了基本定理,导致存在保险融资的概率。此外,我们研究了这种概率何时给出了EIOOPA最佳估计所需的预期折扣现金流量。 我们方法的一般性允许纳入许多重要方面,例如死亡风险或死亡率和股票市场之间的一般依赖水平。利用过滤的扩大理论,我们构建了一个可拖动的框架,以始终如一地估值。

Most insurance contracts are inherently linked to financial markets, be it via interest rates, or -- as hybrid products like equity-linked life insurance and variable annuities -- directly to stocks or indices. However, insurance contracts are not for trade except sometimes as surrender to the selling office. This excludes the situation of arbitrage by buying and selling insurance contracts at different prices. Furthermore, the insurer uses private information on top of the publicly available one about financial market. This paper provides a study of the consistency of insurance contracts in connection with trades in the financial market with explicit mention of the information involved. By defining strategies on an insurance portfolio and combining them with financial trading strategies, we arrive at the notion of insurance-finance arbitrage (IFA). In analogy to the classical fundamental theorem of asset pricing, we give a fundamental theorem on the absence of IFA, leading to the existence of an insurance-finance-consistent probability. In addition, we study when this probability gives the expected discounted cash-flows required by the EIOPA best estimate. The generality of our approach allows to incorporate many important aspects, like mortality risk or general levels of dependence between mortality and stock markets. Utilizing the theory of enlargements of filtrations, we construct a tractable framework for insurance-finance consistent valuation.

扫码加入交流群

加入微信交流群

微信交流群二维码

扫码加入学术交流群,获取更多资源