论文标题

迈向流行病的超级模型

Toward ultrametric modeling of the epidemic spread

论文作者

Volov, V. T., Zubarev, A. P.

论文摘要

提出了基于经典SIR模型的感染流行病的超级模型。引入了基于他们的层次聚类的一组个人的超透明技术相关地与传染性接触的平均时间相关。超级SIR模型的一般方程式被写下,并使用$ p $ -ADIC参数化的特定实现。对$ p $ adiC SIR模型的数值分析及其与经典SIR模型进行了比较。为了降低流行病的水平,层次隔离的概念及其管理的情景。

An ultrametric model of epidemic spread of infections based on the classical SIR model is proposed. Ultrametrics on a set of individuals based on theire hierarchical clustering relativly to the average time of infectious contact is introduced. The general equations of the ultrametric SIR model are written down and their particular implementation using $p$-adic parameterization is presented. A numerical analysis of the $p$-adic SIR model and a comparison of its behavior with the classical SIR model are performed. The concept of hierarchical isolation and the scenario of its management in order to reduce the level of epidemic spread is considered.

扫码加入交流群

加入微信交流群

微信交流群二维码

扫码加入学术交流群,获取更多资源