论文标题
ICC曲线的参数估计
Parameter Estimation from ICC curves
论文作者
论文摘要
在最基本的流行病学模型的情况下，引入并显示出了与累积病例（ICC）曲线相比，为参数识别提供了一个简单的框架，该模型由易感，感染和去除的隔室组成。这种新颖的方法用于估计最近暴发的基本繁殖比，包括持续的COVID-19-19S流行病。
Incidence vs Cumulative Cases (ICC) curves are introduced and shown to provide a simple framework for parameter identification in the case of the most elementary epidemiological model, consisting of susceptible, infected, and removed compartments. This novel methodology is used to estimate the basic reproduction ratio of recent outbreaks, including the ongoing COVID-19 epidemic.
