论文标题
训练保形预测指标
Training conformal predictors
论文作者
论文摘要
共形预测的效率标准,例如\ emph {观察到的模糊性}(即,与假标签相关的p值之和)通常用于\ emph {evaliate}给定的保形预测因子的性能。在这里,我们调查是否可以将效率标准通过使用标准作为培训目标函数来利用\ emph {Learn}分类器,包括共形预测指标和点分类器。提出的想法是针对手写数字的二进制分类问题实施的。通过选择一个1维模型类(具有一个实价的免费参数),我们可以通过(近似)详尽的搜索(离散版本的)参数空间解决优化问题。我们的经验结果表明,通过最大程度地减少以传统方式训练的共形预测因素,通过最大程度地减少相应点分类器的\ emph {预测误差},通过最小化其观察到的模糊性能训练的保形预测因素要好。就测试集的预测错误而言,他们的性能也合理。
Efficiency criteria for conformal prediction, such as \emph{observed fuzziness} (i.e., the sum of p-values associated with false labels), are commonly used to \emph{evaluate} the performance of given conformal predictors. Here, we investigate whether it is possible to exploit efficiency criteria to \emph{learn} classifiers, both conformal predictors and point classifiers, by using such criteria as training objective functions. The proposed idea is implemented for the problem of binary classification of hand-written digits. By choosing a 1-dimensional model class (with one real-valued free parameter), we can solve the optimization problems through an (approximate) exhaustive search over (a discrete version of) the parameter space. Our empirical results suggest that conformal predictors trained by minimizing their observed fuzziness perform better than conformal predictors trained in the traditional way by minimizing the \emph{prediction error} of the corresponding point classifier. They also have a reasonable performance in terms of their prediction error on the test set.