论文标题
控制二氧化碳发射强度预测的热泵
Control of heat pumps with CO2 emission intensity forecasts
论文作者
论文摘要
开发了用于建筑加热的优化热泵控制,以最大程度地减少相关电力发电的二氧化碳排放。该控制使用天气和二氧化碳排放预测作为模型预测控制(MPC)的输入 - 使用动态过程模型,约束和成本函数要最小化的多元控制算法。在一项模拟研究中,在2017 - 2018年全年使用天气和电网条件进行控制,用于投标区DK2(East,Denmark)。研究了两种情况。一间有家庭房屋,一个有办公楼。建筑物是根据标准和建筑法规尺寸的。主要结果是根据经典恒温控制的二氧化碳发射节省。请注意,这仅可以衡量使用MPC控制获得的增益,即能量灵活性,而不是绝对节省的增益。结果表明,在隔热良好的新建筑物中,可以节省大约16%的节省。 此外,进行了灵敏度分析以评估各种建筑物特性的效果,例如绝缘和热容量的水平。丹麦建筑法规从1977年及向前用作绝缘水平的基准。结果表明,绝缘质量和热质量都会影响可实现的柔韧性节省,尤其是用于地板加热。符合1979年晚期代码的建筑物可以节省约10%的灵活性排放,而符合早期代码的建筑物可节省0-5%的范围,这取决于加热系统和热量。
An optimized heat pump control for building heating was developed for minimizing CO2 emissions from related electrical power generation. The control is using weather and CO2 emission forecasts as input to a Model Predictive Control (MPC) - a multivariate control algorithm using a dynamic process model, constraints and a cost function to be minimized. In a simulation study the control was applied using weather and power grid conditions during a full year period in 2017-2018 for the power bidding zone DK2 (East, Denmark). Two scenarios were studied; one with a family house and one with an office building. The buildings were dimensioned on the basis of standards and building codes. The main results are measured as the CO2 emission savings relative to a classical thermostatic control. Note that this only measures the gain achieved using the MPC control, i.e. the energy flexibility, not the absolute savings. The results show that around 16% savings could have been achieved during the period in well insulated new buildings with floor heating. Further, a sensitivity analysis was carried out to evaluate the effect of various building properties, e.g. level of insulation and thermal capacity. Danish building codes from 1977 and forward was used as benchmarks for insulation levels. It was shown that both insulation and thermal mass influence the achievable flexibility savings, especially for floor heating. Buildings that comply with codes later than 1979 could provide flexibility emission savings of around 10%, while buildings that comply with earlier codes provided savings in the range of 0-5% depending on the heating system and thermal mass.